Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.001575 0.001744 0.001914 0.002098 0.002289 0.002482 0.002692
2025-02-16 0.001340 0.001591 0.001852 0.002140 0.002447 0.002765 0.003116
2025-02-23 0.001045 0.001347 0.001669 0.002037 0.002438 0.002861 0.003338
2025-03-02 0.000823 0.001159 0.001532 0.001967 0.002455 0.002977 0.003574
2025-03-09 0.000659 0.001019 0.001435 0.001933 0.002502 0.003121 0.003837
2025-03-16 0.000533 0.000912 0.001365 0.001922 0.002569 0.003282 0.004116
2025-03-23 0.000463 0.000865 0.001360 0.001981 0.002713 0.003527 0.004486
2025-03-30 0.000386 0.000799 0.001327 0.002002 0.002809 0.003716 0.004792
2025-04-06 0.000320 0.000740 0.001296 0.002022 0.002901 0.003897 0.005087
2025-04-13 0.000265 0.000689 0.001272 0.002046 0.002995 0.004080 0.005382
2025-04-20 0.000198 0.000610 0.001204 0.002012 0.003016 0.004175 0.005575
2025-04-27 0.000143 0.000538 0.001139 0.001978 0.003034 0.004263 0.005759
2025-05-04 0.000117 0.000519 0.001154 0.002056 0.003202 0.004545 0.006183
2025-05-11 0.000091 0.000493 0.001159 0.002121 0.003356 0.004811 0.006594
2025-05-18 0.000042 0.000397 0.001052 0.002034 0.003319 0.004850 0.006741
2025-05-25 0.000014 0.000324 0.000970 0.001975 0.003313 0.004925 0.006930
2025-06-01 0.000002 0.000271 0.000914 0.001947 0.003346 0.005044 0.007169
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000231 0.000874 0.001940 0.003403 0.005192 0.007441
2025-06-15 NaN 0.000218 0.000883 0.002003 0.003549 0.005449 0.007842
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000194 0.000866 0.002026 0.003644 0.005641 0.008165
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000172 0.000849 0.002047 0.003734 0.005828 0.008482
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000153 0.000836 0.002073 0.003830 0.006020 0.008804
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000119 0.000786 0.002039 0.003844 0.006110 0.009004